Lafayette
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 90.6059Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 12-13 210 H Binghamton America Eas ( 2-11, 86.5) 10- 9 214 A NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 19- 9 217 H Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 8- 9 221 H Mount St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 85.5) 19- 5 228 H St Johns (NY) Big East ( 2-12, 87.9) 11- 9 306 H Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 10- 9 314 A Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 6- 8, 90.3) 9-11 320 H Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 9-15 328 A Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 13-14 404 A Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 8-11 411 H Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 7-16 418 A Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.7) 2-13 424 H Lehigh Patriot ( 8- 8, 94.7) 12-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Air Force 12-13 -1 -2 1.10
210 H Binghamton 10- 9 1 6 -- -4.52
214 A NJIT 19- 9 10 1 ++ 5.97
217 H Drexel 8- 9 -1 -1 -0.07
221 H Mount St Marys 19- 5 14 6 0.56
228 H St Johns (NY) 11- 9 2 4 - -2.13
306 H Army West Point 10- 9 1 -6 +++ 7.06
314 A Holy Cross (MA) 9-11 -2 -1 -0.96
320 H Navy 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.99
328 A Bucknell 13-14 -1 -3 1.68
404 A Colgate 8-11 -3 -4 0.77
411 H Loyola 7-16 -9 -2 -- -4.66
418 A Boston University 2-13 -11 -5 -1.55
424 H Lehigh 12-14 -2 -3 0.76
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Binghamton 10- 9 1 6 -- -4.52 411 H Loyola 7-16 -9 -2 -- -4.66 228 H St Johns (NY) 11- 9 2 4 - -2.13 320 H Navy 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Army West Point 10- 9 1 -6 +++ 7.06 214 A NJIT 19- 9 10 1 ++ 5.97 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 12-13 -8.57 12.03 1.38 1.02 -3.68
3 H Binghamton ( 2-11, 86.5) 10- 9 -13.44 7.16 -1.38 1.02 11.83
3 A NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 19- 9 -11.70 8.89 1.38 1.02 21.00
3 H Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 8- 9 -6.99 13.61 -1.38 1.02 -4.28
3 H Mount St Marys ( 3-10, 85.5) 19- 5 -14.36 6.24 -1.38 1.02 9.94
3 H St Johns (NY) ( 2-12, 87.9) 11- 9 -12.05 8.55 -1.38 1.02 14.67
3 H Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 10- 9 -1.86 18.74 -1.38 1.02 35.50
3 A Holy Cross (MA ( 6- 8, 90.3) 9-11 -9.63 10.97 1.38 1.02 -4.22
3 H Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 9-15 -5.91 14.69 -1.38 1.02 -3.73
3 A Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 13-14 -7.99 12.61 1.38 1.02 -3.38
3 A Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 8-11 -6.90 13.70 1.38 1.02 -2.83
3 H Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 7-16 -5.58 15.02 -1.38 1.02 -3.56
3 A Boston Univers ( 8- 6, 94.7) 2-13 -5.22 15.38 1.38 1.02 -1.96
3 H Lehigh ( 8- 8, 94.7) 12-14 -5.16 15.43 -1.38 1.02 -3.34
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61.97
|
winning pts = 92.9413 losing points = -30.9668
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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